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Populism Erodes Thailand's Old OrderBy Colum MurphySongkran, or Thai New Year, is usually a period of joy as revelers take to the scorching April streets to throw water and flour on one another. This year’s celebrations, however, were marred by violence when the antigovernment Red Shirts—mainly supporters of fugitive former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra—clashed with the police and army, resulting in two deaths and the face-losing evacuation of visiting foreign leaders attending a regional summit in Pattaya. Suffering Fails to Stir InterventionBy Simon MontlakeTo drive between Kilinochchi and the coastal strip where Sri Lanka’s Tamil Tigers recently staged a final, doomed stand is to enter a wasteland scoured of humanity. Mile after mile of fallow cropland gives way to villages of roofless houses, cratered yards and charred vehicles. The only signs of life, apart from clumps of listless cows, were military posts our armored personnel carrier sped past, trailing ochre dust. It was hard to imagine these villages as living, breathing communities. After the Tigers abandoned their former capital Kilinochchi in January, they retreated eastward. The villagers went too, either out of fear or solidarity, and the war front advanced, trapping over a quarter of a million civilians behind enemy lines. Colombo Blacklists Outside ObserversBy Angilee ShahIn Sri Lanka’s final push to rout the rebel Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), information about what was happening on the front lines was hard to come by. The last week of major military action focused on just a sliver of land in the northeast which was still occupied by what remained of the LTTE. But on May 11 the United Nations estimated that 50,000 civilians were still caught between government forces and the rebels. Gordon Weiss, U.N. spokesperson in Colombo, warned the world that the final surge, and shelling from both sides, was a “bloodbath scenario” coming true. And while Sri Lankan government officials decried what they saw as an alarmist and false analysis, international organizations and journalists were not allowed to see for themselves what was happening on the ground. Nepal's Democracy Honeymoon EndsBy Nicholas OwenNepal’s fragile democracy has been severely tested by the events of the past month. On May 4, the resignation of the Maoist prime minister, Pushpa Kamal Dahal, plunged the year-old republic into political crisis. Now the new prime minister, Madhav Kumar Nepal, must achieve political consensus while defending his government from charges that it undermined democracy by siding with the military against the previous Maoist-led administration. Raising the Stakes in BurmaBy Ian HollidayOn May 18, a closed court inside Rangoon’s notorious Insein Prison assembled for the trial of Aung San Suu Kyi, opposition leader, Nobel Peace Prize laureate, and repository of hope for Burmese near and far. The charge was violation of the terms of the house arrest to which the democratic icon has been subjected on and off for nearly 14 of the past 20 years. The circumstance that provoked it was a nocturnal swim across Inya Lake by American adventurer John Yettaw, who washed up at Daw Suu’s dilapidated University Avenue villa on May 3. A Realist Approach to North KoreaBy Charles K. ArmstrongOn May 22, the Film Forum in New York screened a newly restored print of Stanley Kubrick’s 1964 Cold War classic, “Dr. Strangelove, Or How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb.” This black comedy of nuclear madness and apocalyptic obsession seemed perfectly timed for North Korea’s second nuclear test just three days later. In particular the image of wild-eyed foreign policy advisor Dr. Strangelove, one of several characters played by Peter Sellers in the movie, could almost be a stand-in for Kim Jong Il, whom the media never tires of calling “unpredictable” and a “madman.” Supposedly, however, Kubrick based Dr. Strangelove, Teutonic accent and all, on Henry Kissinger. The Death of the Sunshine PolicyBy Donald KirkWith North Korea’s second nuclear test on May 25, South Korea’s Sunshine Policy has faded into a sunset of recriminations and threats that diplomats had been working assiduously to avoid ever since North Korea formally withdrew from the nuclear non-proliferation treaty six years ago in April 2003. The tragedy of the Sunshine policy, and all efforts at getting North Korea to give up its ambition to become a nuclear power, is that the same pattern repeats over and over: After seeming breakthroughs, terrible disillusion sets in. So how did the final breakdown occur? Will 'Red Money' Tame Taiwan?By Jonathan AdamsIt’s a momentous change in East Asia’s financial landscape. For the first time, Taiwan is opening its doors to Chinese money—both portfolio investment by Chinese institutional investors, and equity investment by Chinese firms. That’s one marker of how much cross-Strait relations have improved. Once on the brink of war, the two sides are now playing nice. China has softened toward the self-ruled island it views as a wayward province. Since 2000, economic ties have tightened; that process kicked into high gear when the China-friendly Ma Ying-jeou took power one year ago. China's Rail Plans: Awesome or Awful?By Kathleen E. McLaughlinOnly last fall, Sanjiang in the province of Guangxi, was the China of every tourist’s dream. Stunning mountain rice terraces serve as a backdrop to quaint villages of airy, traditional wooden houses and peaked, covered bridges. Inside, people of the Dong and Buyi ethnic minorities—the women adorned in traditional smocks and knotted head coverings—move about the slow business of farming through picturesque paddies and green fields. High Hopes for the Next SBY TermBy James Van ZorgeThere are few people in Indonesia who doubt that the incumbent president, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, widely known as sby, will win the July 8 presidential election. Mr. Yudhoyono’s competitors, who include his predecessor and erstwhile boss, Megawati Sukarnoputri, and his current vice president, Jusuf Kalla, are trailing far behind in popularity polls. Pundits and pollsters alike doubt Ms. Megawati can win more than 20% of the popular vote, and Mr. Kalla would be considered extraordinarily lucky if he could manage 10% of voters’ support in his bid for the presidency. Barring some unforeseen disaster on the campaign trail, Mr. Yudhoyono will walk away with a simple majority of the vote and once again become the leader of the world’s third-largest democracy. Indians Deserve Better GovernanceBy Salil TripathiEven for the most jaded cynic, the image of serpentine queues of smiling men and women waiting patiently in the harsh heat of Indian summer to cast their votes, cannot fail to inspire. Also impressive is that India regularly carries out this logistical miracle almost flawlessly, given the scale—some 714 million voters this time, of whom 420 million voted, making the elections the world’s largest expression of democracy. India's Premature ExuberanceBy Subhash AgrawalFor much of the campaign season, there was little memorable about the position of any political party or inspiring about any political figure. It all seemed so scripted. The ruling Congress party, which began with a huge head-start over the Bharatiya Janata Party, the main opposition, appeared to have lost much of its advantage due to overconfidence. The BJP, which looked weak at first, began to act as if it actually was the dark-horse favorite. Everybody was ready for a long haul, expecting no clear winners and much postelection horse-trading. Book ReviewFeaturesDow Jones LinksAdvertise on feer.com and in FEER |